TLDR
- Ethereum’s multi-year range aligns with Wyckoff accumulation phases observed in historical market cycles.
- A confirmed spring and higher Last Point of Support suggest downside supply has largely been absorbed.
- Declining ETH exchange balances indicate reduced sell pressure as more holders move to self-custody.
- Rising open interest and recent exchange inflows show increased positioning as price nears resistance.
Ethereum Wyckoff Phase is increasingly being cited by market analysts as a framework explaining the asset’s current positioning.
Recent technical commentary, paired with exchange flow data, suggests Ethereum may be approaching the final stage of a long accumulation cycle. The discussion is centered on structure rather than short-term price movement.
Ethereum has spent several years trading within a wide range, absorbing volatility across multiple macro environments.
This extended consolidation has created conditions where classical accumulation models are being revisited. Analysts are now assessing whether recent price behavior reflects preparation rather than exhaustion.
Structural Signals Point to a Mature Accumulation
Ethereum Wyckoff Phase analysis shared by Merlijn The Trader frames the multi-year range as a textbook accumulation.
Phase A defined the range through a clear Selling Climax, Automatic Rally, and Secondary Tests. Those events marked the absorption of panic-driven supply and the establishment of structural boundaries.
Phase B followed with prolonged consolidation and repeated tests of support. Price volatility during this period served to weaken speculative positioning.
According to the analysis, this phase allowed larger participants to accumulate without driving price expansion.
Attention has now shifted to Phase C, where Ethereum briefly moved below established support before quickly reclaiming it. That spring-and-test sequence is widely interpreted as the final removal of remaining supply. Since then, price has respected higher support levels, aligning with a transition into Phase D.
Ethereum is currently pressing toward the upper end of the range. The presence of a Sign of Strength above resistance, combined with a potential Back-Up to the Last Point of Support, places focus on whether Phase E is approaching. Within Wyckoff methodology, that phase represents sustained markup.
Exchange Behavior Adds Supporting Context
Ethereum Wyckoff Phase discussions are also being informed by on-chain data. Crypto Patel noted that ETH balances on exchanges are declining while Binance’s share remains stable.
This trend points toward holders moving assets into self-custody rather than responding to platform risk.
Lower exchange balances generally reduce immediate sell-side availability. When paired with structural tightening on price charts, this condition often becomes part of broader accumulation narratives.
The consistency across exchanges suggests coordinated behavior rather than isolated flows.
At the same time, Coin Bureau reported a sharp increase in ETH inflows to Binance, totaling 162,000 ETH.
This marked the largest inflow since spring 2023. Alongside this movement, Ethereum open interest has risen above $17.6 billion.
Rising open interest reflects increased trader engagement and risk exposure. When viewed with declining net exchange balances, it signals positioning activity rather than simple distribution.
Ethereum Wyckoff Phase analysis now sits alongside derivatives data that shows markets preparing for expansion.
Ethereum continues to trade within a decisive zone where structure, custody trends, and leveraged participation intersect.
Market participants are monitoring whether these aligned signals confirm completion of the accumulation phase before a broader directional move.
