TLDR
- ETH found a potential bottom at $3,900 after recent market fluctuations
- A rare “Power of 3” pattern suggests an 80-100% breakout potential in Q4
- ETH ETFs saw $547 million in inflows, led by Fidelity ($202M) and BlackRock ($154M)
- Long-to-short ratios and rising derivatives activity show bullish positioning
- Technical analysis points to $5,766 as a medium-term target if momentum continues
Ethereum’s price has shown resilience after dropping to $3,900, with many analysts now considering this level a local bottom. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading at around $4,477, reflecting a recovery that has caught the attention of market observers.
The bounce from $3,900 has technical analysts pointing to a rare pattern known as the “Power of 3” (PO3) model. This setup, also called the Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution pattern, previously drove ETH from $2,000 to $4,900 between May and June.
The latest structure appears to be following a similar trajectory. Buyers accumulated ETH between $4,800 and $4,200 before a swift drop pushed the price briefly below $4,000.
Many traders view this move as a deliberate liquidity sweep or stop-hunt, clearing external liquidity around the $4,180 level.
This retracement actually reinforced the bullish narrative rather than weakened it, aligning with a daily fair value gap and potentially setting up a repeat of the Q2 pattern.
Technical Indicators Point Upward
The 25-day and 50-day simple moving averages are currently acting as near-term resistance. Analysts suggest that the next critical step would be a decisive daily close above $4,500.
Securing this level would provide Ethereum with a solid base for its next advance. If this pattern holds true, experts predict a potential 80-100% breakout as Q4 unfolds.
This would echo the magnitude of gains seen earlier in the year. With its recent low below $3,900 looking increasingly like a floor price, ETH may be testing new highs soon.
Chart analysis has highlighted resistance near $4,275. Beyond this level, upside targets are seen at $4,450 and $4,800.
Medium-term projections extend toward $5,766 if momentum sustains. Support remains strong between $4,100 and $4,175.
ETF Inflows Boost Market Confidence
Institutional interest has played a major role in ETH’s recent price action. Data shows that Ethereum ETFs attracted around $547 million on September 29 alone.
Fidelity added about $202 million, while BlackRock purchased close to $154 million. These inflows ended several days of consecutive outflows.
Studies have shown that $100 million in inflows could lift spot prices between 0.3% and 0.7%. This trend suggests that Ethereum ETF flows play an important role in near-term volatility and momentum.
The renewed institutional demand provides a stabilizing force. According to market analysts, consistent inflows reduce downside pressure and help ETH avoid deeper pullbacks during broader risk-off periods.
This institutional buying is seen as an important factor in balancing liquidity and strengthening confidence across exchanges.
Derivatives Data Confirms Bullish Sentiment
Traders in the derivatives market are positioning for further gains. Binance reported a long-to-short ratio of 1.8, while top traders displayed higher conviction at 2.7.
Open interest in futures remained elevated near $56 billion. Daily futures volumes climbed 38% to $72 billion, while options activity increased by 50%.
These increases suggest traders are preparing for larger swings in ETH price. Such changes in volume usually indicate heightened conviction and expectations of near-term volatility.
Ethereum’s price remains below a descending resistance trendline traced from the September highs. Clearing this ceiling is considered essential for a larger breakout.
Analysts say a confirmed close above $4,300 would represent a shift in structure, possibly opening a path toward higher targets.
Ethereum ETF inflows provide a strong base for bullish positioning, while derivatives data shows traders are prepared for volatility.Together, these elements suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for ETH in the medium term. At present, the ETH price structure appears balanced between clear support and firm resistance.
Sustained institutional buying, coupled with growing derivatives exposure, indicates that Ethereum could test higher targets if momentum carries through.
For now, Ethereum’s next major move depends on continued ETF participation and technical confirmation. Market analysts continue to monitor whether inflows will persist and whether ETH price can finally close above the $4,300 barrier to establish a stronger upward trajectory.
